From their GPA recalculation standards (FSU Undergraduate Bulletin) I’d be at a 4.27, slightly below the average range. While imo it’s not a huge reach - you’re right in that I’m certainly not guaranteed acceptance. The website does list that the NMF scholarship guarantees admission into the honors college but I don’t believe it implies guaranteed admission in and of itself.
Thank y’all for y’alls excellent advice! The suggestions of private schools where I would possibly qualify for merit aid was especially helpful. While my budget is still an important consideration I learned that it was slightly more forgiving than I had thought, opening up some of the less sure-thing schools suggested here. I’ve created an (admittedly large) list that I think I’ll submit:
Private
Tulane
Hendrix
Birmingham-Southern
Loyola N.O.
(might add a west coast Catholic college where my counselor has a full-tuition scholarship I could be nominated for)
Public
Florida State
Texas A&M
South Carolina
Alabama
Oklahoma
Arkansas
LSU