<p>First, obviously Jefferson admits vastly more than 200 people. Second, most of the 8000 drop out early in the process. I suspect more than half of those offered interviews do not show up. I skipped half of the interviews I was offered.</p>
<p>Third and most importantly, you don’t just apply to one school. You apply to lots and lots of schools. Jefferson’s 200 are – by definition – not going to be the same as Penn’s 200, or Temple’s 200. But the 8000 probably overlap quite a bit.</p>
<p>Again, you know the national odds are about 50%. And you know the odds for kids who don’t screw up the paperwork are better than that. And the odds among kids who got into BS/MD programs and don’t screw up the paperwork – well, that’s probably very close to 95%+.</p>