UC Berkeley Chances 1450 SAT 3.8 UW 4.4 W

The weighted capped will “hurt” more applicants at Berkeley than at most of the other UCs because there probably will be a higher percentage of students who have taken way more than 4 AP/honor/CC classes. So it winds up not hurting you because everyone else gets short-changed as well.

You’re in the ballpark. If the 50% straw man is a 3.92 unweighted and 1450 SAT (this assumes L&S) in your case you’ll probably need to have an SAT that approaches 1500 to even things out. Rigor always helps.