If you want a four year experience, you have your answer. UCSC is a fine school and well located for CS.
I would not say UCSB at 11% or UCI at 22% are good odds, even if better than the initial odds and even UCD at 38% means most, if past data is any indication, will not get in.
Do you want to go to a CC or enjoy school for four years.
Your outcomes will likely not be vastly different so unless you dislike UCSC or have other concerns (housing, for example), it seems a fine choice.