^ In thinking more about the UVA/UNC-CH admissions numbers, I looked at information from both the UVA website, here: http://admission.virginia.edu/admission/statistics and the UNC-CH website, here: http://admissions.unc.edu/apply/class-profile-2/. The UVA link states that “we do seek to maintain a 2/3 majority of Virginians in our student population” whereas UNC-CH seeks to have “no more than eighteen percent nonresident enrollment in the entering freshman class.” (I think I read somewhere that the entering OOS freshmen classes in the recent past at both UVA and William & Mary, another state school, have been around 27%.)
If you look at the statistics from the websites above, UVA had 9186 admitted students; if 27 % of these were OOS, that comes to 2480 OOS freshmen (if 33% of these were OOS, that number increases to 3031). By contrast, UNC-CH admitted 9386 students; if 18% of these were OOS, that comes to 1689 OOS freshmen.
If my assumptions are correct, there were almost 800 more OOS students admitted as freshmen at UVA than at UNC-CH, if 27% of incoming UVA freshmen are OOS; if 33% of incoming UVA freshmen are OOS, then the disparity increases to over 1300 more OOS freshmen admitted at UVA than at UNC-CH.
So. all other things being equal, it seems that an OOS applicant has a better chance of admission to UVA because it admits a larger cohort of OOS freshmen each year compared to UNC-CH.
I never tried to quantify this before; so if my assumptions/numbers are incorrect, let me know (math was never my strong suit).