It is less regional/more national than it once was, but it is still much more regional than many people on CC seem to think. The Ivies, for example, still draw half or more of their entering class from the Northeast, a region that comprises just 18% of the nation’s population. Top Southern schools draw disproportionately from the South, Midwestern schools from the Midwest, and Western schools from the West, even leaving aside the top publics.
I mostly agree with this, but “those who will go on to do great things” doesn’t quite hit it, either. Applicant pools at elite schools are larger and stronger than ever, so at those schools, finding applicants who are academically qualified is now the least of their worries. Many people on CC seem to think it is, or should be, a purely meritocratic judgment, with the schools choosing the “most qualified,” i.e., my Johnnie. But that’s not what they’re doing, and if you stop and listen to them, they’ll tell you so. They’re not sitting around trying to decide whether Applicant A with a 35 ACT and a 3.93 unweighted GPA is “more qualified” than Applicant B with a 34 ACT and a 3.97. Both easily make the cut on that score, as do thousands of other applicants, far more than they can accept. So it’s the “other institutional and social issues” that dominate. They need to let in enough athletes to fill up the varsity athletic teams, and at most schools they’ll give some weight to the coaches’ preferences as to which athletes, provided they meet minimum academic standards. They’ll want to maintain some semblance of gender balance, which at some schools means cutting male applicants some extra slack, but not at engineering schools where it’s the reverse. Whether or not the admissions officers themselves care about racial/ethnic diversity, their institutional masters care, so they’ll consider that. They need to admit enough legacies to keep the alumni from ripping their heads off, along with a few “development cases” to keep the development office and the president happy. They may pay some attention to geographic representation. Many schools now treat first-gen status as a tip factor, if only to convince themselves that despite enrolling very small numbers of Pell grant-eligible students, they’re still an engine of upward social mobility and are therefore entitled to keep the tax-exempt, tax-deductible status that keeps the money machine running. Most elite schools don’t do admissions by intended major (unless they admit to separate undergraduate schools or colleges, as at Cornell), but they’ve got to pay some attention to ensuring that there are enough musicians, enough math/science jocks, enough literary types, and so on, both to give their various academic departments a reason for being and to support a broad range of extracurriculars. They all say they want a diverse and “interesting” class, by which they mean at least avoiding a cookie-cutter sameness. I’ll bet Harvard could fill up its entire class with highly qualified suburban white kids from the tri-state New York City metro area; that’s what they want to avoid. At the end of the day they do need to be attentive to their SAT/ACT medians, not because that determines who’s most qualified, but because many people look to those medians as a proxy for the academic strength of the students and the “selectivity” of the school, and because it matters in their US News rankings which they all care about no matter how silly they think those rankings are in substance. And yes, they do want people “who will go on to do great things” in a wide variety of fields, in part because in the long term it will help maintain the school’s image and prestige, and in the short term because it will make the campus a livelier and more dynamic place and enhance the undergraduate experience for all who attend.
In short, contrary to MWDadOf3, I think the “institutional and social issues” aren’t merely side issues, they really are the main event in elite college admissions, at least for those schools that have reached the point where they could fill their entering class many times over with academically highly qualified applicants. I’d be willing to bet that at these schools, a strong majority of those admitted have one or more “hooks” or “tip factors” working in their favor. You’ve got to be highly qualified academically, but that just gets you in the game.