What are my chances for ivies + my school list

I really hope they would not look at the candidate as a 3.5 - any good AO would not. It’s a solid school though. FYI - 3.7+ students strong in math, with high scores to support, get in from top MA public schools more than not. I would not be surprised at all if OP did get in. Let’s check back in a year and see.