I agree that none of them are safeties. FWIW, my eldest son took classes at our local university (with the college kids) beginning in middle school. He finished Calculus in 8th grade and took higher math classes throughout high school. He was valedictorian with a 2250 SAT with 800s on his subject tests, and all 5s on the APs except for a 3 Spanish. He worked since age 12 as a soccer ref. He was a freelance writer and started his own online business. He was a 4 year varsity sport kids in soccer, swimming, and XC. He was captain of his ACE team and stared his own chapter of the KIVA club at his high school. He was even selected by the school system to sit in and conduct job interviews for their next principal.
He applied to most of these schools and was waitlisted to them all except for Duke. And Duke’s need based cost was double their pretty campus visit brochure’s estimate. Granted the fine print said to check the NPC, but I didn’t do that until much later. (my mistake)
Fortunately, his did apply and was accepted to several in-state schools and is currently happy at a small private school where he was given free tuition. The bottom line is that for every 1 available spot, there are 10 amazing kids who deserve to be there.