@STF4717 makes a good point “If the weather forecast said 94% chance of full sun, would you carry an umbrella? Do yourself a favor and instead focus on good match and safety schools.”
But getting rejected by all your schools is far worse then getting soaked or unnecessarily carrying an umbrella.
If there were a 94% chance large rocks are going to fall from the sky I suspect you would change your plans and stay indoors. You have some impressive credentials and each school will render independent decisions…but the reality is the odds are stacked against you. Create a plan not an ambition and good luck.