You seem like a well-qualified candidate academically.
From admissions sessions last year, AO’s from top schools said 75% of applicants are academically qualified. So maybe instead of 13-15%, your chances might be 17-19% per school. Maybe a bit of a bump due to being from Oregon. Another small bump because your essays sound like you linked your personal self with some interesting topics. (As long as you truly revealed yourself in those essays. big dip if you didn’t.) And then it all really depends on if you are likable, which I can’t tell from your post. Your “must be 99%-ile to apply to my school” comment feels a little like you might focus too much on impressing rather than connecting, but you are 13, and this is a quick post – maybe you are super likable in interviews. So if you want chances, I’d guess 60-40 for having at least one option. (You only applied to those three schools?)
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