<p>Aprmom: your child will no doubt get in somewhere with those stats, but please relax and stop trying to play the probability game; it will only make it more stressful on your entire family.</p>
<p>With those stats, your S/D is a match for Cal, but that being said, people get rejected from match schools every year. Likewise, people get admitted to reach schools every year, and rejected from safeties every year. Admissions are a crapshoot nowadays, and Berkeley is one of the ultimates. They seek to admit a diverse class, and admitting everyone with a 2250 wouldn’t allow for much diversity. For example, I know someone who was admitted to Cal, UCSB and UCD this year, but was rejected from Cal Poly SLO and Pepperdine. On the admitted threads here on CC, you’ll find people admitted to the Ivy League but rejected from Cal.</p>
<p>Cal’s newly released study on how the SAT is NOT a positive indicator of future academic success will likely only lessen the weight of that exam, and increase the weight of ECs, essays, etc. in their admissions review. This is not to say that a high test score won’t help, but it definitely does not guarantee admission.</p>
<p>As for the GPA, Cal’s average is slightly above a 4.3. Most people applying there are well-qualified, smart, hard-working high school seniors who would no doubt be an asset to any great university. Cal admits 1/5th of them.</p>
<p>So pick some safeties your child will be happy at, and hope for the best with the matches and reaches. And remember that just because a school doesn’t look like “the one” at the outset doesn’t mean it won’t end up being a great experience. I ended up going to the school that I originally placed 7th on my list of 10 schools (and I was admitted to 5 of those “ranked” above it), but eventually realized that the one I’m now attending was the best fit, even if some others I was admitted to were considered more “prestigious.” Go for the best fit, and you’re child will no doubt receive a valuable education, be it at Cal or Fresno State.</p>