Eh. I don’t think Naviance was wrong. It’s how you define “match” vs “reach.”
I’m in the minority – But I don’t view it as a pure calculation of admission likelihood. For me, “match” is simply – Does the applicant “match” the types of students that get admitted. “Reach” means the student’s stats are slightly below the typical admitted student.
So 4.0 and 1580 is definitely a match for Ivy leagues. It doesn’t mean would get admitted into any particular Ivy League school – Harvard still rejects most of the “matches.”
“Reach” means — “you’d have a better chance if your GPA and SAT were slightly higher.” If you have 4.0/1580, you can’t possibly reach any higher.
I know this isn’t how lots of other people define the terms. But it’s how I define them, and I believe it’s how Naviance is defining the terms.