Please read this thread I’m going to link. The student in this thread was a NMF, top HS student, excellent grades, multiple AP courses, excellent LOR, etc. He was not accepted anywhere he applied as a high school senior, and his profile was much stronger than yours is. This thread is older…from 2005-2006…and admissions at these elite schools has only gotten more competitive.
You need to find some sure things for admission that you like…outside of the top 50 colleges.