<p>Yes, while it is a lottery ticket for some, and the chance threads are pretty insignificant (no one can chance unless they have insights on essays and recommendations), I have seen acceptances that are predictable. Usually very strong academics, with some huge talent or a significant “meaningful” contribution (think state or national/international impact) …a huge number of those do get in. And yes, if someone has a shout out in the local tv/newspaper combine that with stellar academics…they are almost always in…that is what I have seen in our areas. And some recruited athletes get prior commitment. Yes, to some it is a lottery but to others, it is fairly obvious. </p>
<p>About the 60K/year, personally I’d see it as a HUGE commitment since undergrad in a generic major and spending that kind of money…is something a family needs to really consider…and yes, start buying those real lottery tickets weekly ;)</p>
<p>Oh…and if you make the US national soccer team and have a 2400/4.8 gpa, and fed hungry children , I think that person would be in :)</p>