Why reasonably assessing a student's chances matters

[ucbalumnus]

@happymomof1

No formal statement of which grades and test scores guarantee admission, but no student like you who applied from your own high school in the past five years was every rejected? That one would be pretty safe. But please don’t count on it being absolutely safe. The year you apply could be the year that admissions gets tougher.

Or you may be applying into a more selective admission bucket at the school than the previous students were.