Why reasonably assessing a student's chances matters

Yes, there are definitely different “buckets” than the normal hooks people think of. My D wanted to major in Classics/Intensive Literature. Yale has a great Classics Department and they have to ensure they have students in it to justify the professors and the other expenses to run the Department. So, I am sure my D fit very nicely in a very small bucket.

Please don’t think that if by some chance you apply saying you want some obscure major will help you. If your transcript is heavy in STEM classes and you say you want to be a German major, that probably won’t fly. My D had been taking Latin since 7 grade - so she had 6 years of it, including AP Latin, when she applied. So saying she wanted to be a Classics major was definitely foreseeable.

Just think, if Yale was full of STEM pre-med types - oh what a boring place it would be. It also could not be a place full of Literature/History types cause no scientific research would get done. You need a balance, pure and simple.