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While I have no inside information, it does not strike me as implausible that there were only 6 Yale EA admits from the Bay Area this year (though it may depend on how one defines the “Bay Area”). </p>
<p>Based on the geographic distribution of undergrads at Harvard (I don’t have data for Yale but one would expect it to be comparable), it would be reasonable to assume that about 10%-11% of EA admits are from California. And even if you include the entire population of Alameda, Contra Costa, Marin, San Francisco and San Mateo counties within your definition of Bay Area, the Bay Area only accounts for about 11% of California’s total population. If you apply these percentages to the total number of EA admits (i.e., 11% of 10% of 723), you would get an expected number of Yale EA admits from the Bay Area of about 8.</p>
<p>Just another example of how totally and ridiculously hard it is to get into these super selective schools.</p>