@jonri, true, discovery cuts both ways. But I am not sure how much worse he can look, if the goal is to “muddy the waters” sufficient to give him plausible deniability of having committed sexual assault. I know that personally if someone did not fight an expulsion that close to graduation I would assume that ether the charges were true or that there were other less than savory things in that applicant’s background. In that sense, the fact that the expulsion happens so close to graduation really puts the kid in a bind. Had he been expelled as a sophomore say it might have been possible to convince a future employer that you just wanted to “put it all behind him” or some such, and allow the general distrust over what is going on on campuses to carry him through. Harder to make that argument during your last semester.
As far as the legal stuff, yep that is a huge hurdle. I would just caution, again, relying on District Court opinions from different districts on cases like this. Yes, Judge Furman’s opinion pretty much shuts the door on any Title IX challenges by men in his Court. But he is not the only District Judge, and as is normal with the law we seem to see some cases make it past the 12(b) dismissal stage, and other like Doe which do not. It is really hard to get a sense where the courts are going to land on these issues until we start to see some Circuit Court opinions in the next couple years.
As far as why we are where we are, in my opinion, Montague’s “worst case” scenario is not too far from where he is right now. He left school a few months before graduation, while the captain of the basketball team. Anyone who ever wants to hire the guy is going to be very curious about that. The idea that in the context of his future professional life, this could be “kept under the radar” is farcical.
From Yale’s perspective though it is hard to see how the publicity doesn’t hurt the school. Leave aside that in pretty much every case that we see which gets to the discovery stage the school looks like the keystone cops at best. Right now, Yale can let the advocacy groups run around and call him a rapist, and intimate that he was a really bad guy and there is more to the story. But if the timeline as set out is even remotely accurate, and this case gets to discovery, some one will have to explain how they found enough evidence to expel a guy about an incident that occurred a year previous. And if there is actual proof of assault, or even if there is proof that he assaulted others, someone is going to have to answer for why the school didn’t go to the police. To me I guess it comes down to as the father of a son, I want to know how the heck they can expel a kid during his last semester based on a year old incident. As the father of a daughter, I want to know why they let this kid run around free on campus if in fact this was a pattern of behavior.
And I think you discount his importance as captain. Maybe not on the larger campus, but within the basketball program, and especially among his teammates being named captain is a huge deal and often has little to do with whether the person selected was the best athlete. The notion that the guys he sweated and puked and struggled with would neither know nor care what was going on is not how it works.