3.8 Test Optional UMich OOS ED Chance me

Hii! Can anyone let me know how my early decision chances are for UMich elementary education major (Marsal family school of education) out of state?

Demographics

  • US citizen, Washington

  • large public high school

  • full pay, OOS

Intended Major(s) Undergraduate Elementary Teacher Education

GPA, Rank, and Test Scores

  • 3.80 UW GPA

  • No class rank

  • Test optional

  • 5 on AP World, 4 on AP psych, lang, research, seminar

List your HS coursework

  • English: honors english 9 and 10, AP Lang, AP Lit

  • Math: DE precalc 1 and 2, AP Calc AB

  • Science: Biology, chemistry, AP Physics 1, AP Bio, DE physiology, DE neuroscience, biotechnology, AP Env Sci

  • History/Social Science: AP World, AP Gov, AP Psych, AP Research, AP Seminar

  • Language other than English: Spanish 100, Spanish 200, DE Spanish 350, DE Spanish 450

Awards: AP Capstone Diploma, HOSA State 5th place, HOSA State 7th place, Gold and Silver President Volunteer Awards

Extracurriculars:

  • published research on education and learning in high school science journal

  • 4 yr language teacher at local language school

  • Elementary school tutor

  • dance instructor,

  • 400 hrs hospital volunteering

  • literacy drive/non profit founder

  • teaching Assistant job (2yrs)

  • preschool Teacher (1yr)

  • high school link crew mentor

Essays/LORs/Other
Very well written and major focused essays. 3 strong LOR from AP Research teacher, AP Psych teacher, and hospital volunteer coordinator

No one can say but unlikely. The TO doesn’t help.

Would you really pay $80k a year for an elementary Ed degree ??

Why is it unlikely?