<p>I am being optimistic here. On the bright side, I would not lose my life if I am rejected. =D</p>
<p>So here we are. Just post if the probability you think you will be rejected or accepted or waitlisted (and then accepted or rejected). Again, there cannot be 0% due to obvious reasons.</p>
<p>95% chance rejected.
4% chance waitlisted rejected.
1% chance waitlisted accepted.
0.01% chance accepted.</p>
<p>My mathematics is perfectly well here.</p>
<p>P(rejected) = 0.97
P(accepted) = 0.025
P(waitlisted) = 0.005
P(accepted | waitlisted) =0.05
P(rejected | waitlisted) = 0.95</p>
<p>I’m really anxious about tomorrow, yet at the same time I’m completely hopeless about getting in.</p>
<p>98,9% chance rejected.
1% chance waitlisted rejected.
0.1% chance waitlisted accepted.
0.0009% chance accepted.</p>
<p>don’t be hopeless yet. i am not. and really don’t stand a realistic chance :D</p>
<p>“On the bright side, I would not lose my life if I am rejected”
Haha, I would tell myself that too :D</p>
<p>exactly the attitude.</p>
<p>I told myself I still got my safety school so I won’t end with no college to attend</p>
<p>amen .</p>
<p>Wait … what’s the actual % chance for RD applicants? I’d like to know before giving myself probabilities.</p>
<p>According to the stats on MIT’s website, for a domestic applicant with good test scores [750+ M/CR] it’s something like 15-20%. Or rather, 15-20% of applicants with those scores are admitted.</p>
<p>So stop putting down 0.01%, guys! I’m estimating my own chances of acceptance at 15% based on statistics and old-fashioned gumption.</p>
<p>EDIT: Actually, revise that to 12.5%, since the RD Decisions are apparently going to be unprecedentedly brutal.</p>
<p>Hey!if you guys with blablabla International Olympiad awards get rejected, I think I’d better commit suicide because I have not a single international award. <em>sigh</em></p>
<p>@DMOC: I think for an AVERAGE qualified applicant the chance maybe 10% or even lower.</p>
<p>i too don’t have any special awards except some inner school stuff and a few diplomas. never went to an olympiad or even a state contest. so my estimation are pretty much true.</p>
<p>Unless you’re an international, where getting 750+ may bump you up to a 5% chance. Woo. Hoo.</p>
<p>even if you get rejected, at least you’re still alive : )</p>
<p>
</p>
<p>I agree. We should move our behinds from PC and chill out. See you tomorrow 8pm eastern european time, when I get the decision. </p>
<p>Handala, sharing rooms in a dorm? 
:D</p>
<p>In the meantime, enjoy with this
[YouTube</a> - Test Your Awareness: Do The Test](<a href=“http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ahg6qcgoay4&playnext_from=TL&videos=QBn5sarTQhI&playnext=1]YouTube”>http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ahg6qcgoay4&playnext_from=TL&videos=QBn5sarTQhI&playnext=1)</p>
<p>[YouTube</a> - the best “spot the changes” video on youtube!](<a href=“http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BPKN7yXCNWs&playnext_from=TL&videos=xXOcY-fAtHA&playnext=1]YouTube”>http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BPKN7yXCNWs&playnext_from=TL&videos=xXOcY-fAtHA&playnext=1)</p>
<p>Yeah I get it on 8pm as well!
Just to keep up with the statistics… my interviewer told me that in the past 5 years, 2 out of 500 german applicants were accepted. That makes a 0.4% chance. On the other hand, one could also argue that there is a 60% chance that this year no german will be accepted. YAY!
Good luck everyone <3</p>
<p>Applying Calculus . . .</p>
<p>90% chance rejected.
9% chance waitlisted rejected.
.99% chance waitlisted accepted.
0.01% chance accepted.</p>
<p>I feel really bad because my Calculus teacher wrote such a good recommendation letter for me. And really want to see me get into MIT.</p>
<p>I’d estimate that I’m about 20% likely to be accepted. Reason being, I have 800 CR on my SAT, and I recall those having an about 20% acceptance rate. I’ll just let the increase in applicants and the other positive aspects of my application cancel each other out, leaving me at 20%.</p>
<p>Still, 20% for acceptance is 80% for rejection. It’s not a positive outlook.</p>
<p>Do you realize that we switch to daylight savings tomorrow (or out of it; i can never remember which). This means that we will be receiving our decisions an hour early</p>
<p>I got 740 on maths. Screwed.</p>
<p>So what do you mean? We get our results at 12:59pm? You switch at 9 o’clock.</p>
<p>my guesstimate</p>
<p>60% rejected
7% chance waitlisted rejected
3% chance waitlisted accepted
30% chance accepted</p>
<p>you guys are being way too pessimistic</p>
<p>99.9% rejected
0.07% waitlisted
0.02% waitlisted accepted
0.01% accepted</p>
<p>Still way too optimistic though</p>