@wisteria100’s post highlights a whole other problem: How rankings give colleges incentive to game the system by targeting recruitment at high stats kids … or, alternatively, encouraging more applications to increase selectivity, or locking in students with early commitments to increase yield. It gets crazier by the minute and I’m dreading going through this with my next kid.
But the bottom line here is the schools in hand, and which presents the better option for OP in this moment. Only they can decide, but they have access to a lot of good information.