“Knowing our primary market is diminishing is certainly driving us to find new markets,” said Ann Bowe McDermott, director of admissions at Holy Cross. “The reality for us, and for a lot of other colleges, is that we need to think more broadly about where we recruit students.”</p>
<p>Prominent private schools with established national bases, such as Harvard, Boston College, Amherst and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, as well as public flagships with predominately in-state enrollment, have only slightly adjusted their focus, if at all.</p>
<p>But for smaller schools, the demographic trends are worrisome. Massachusetts’ population has grown only marginally this decade, and since 1990, New England’s population has increased much more slowly than the nation’s.</p>
<p>Starting next year, the number of public high school graduates in New England is projected to decline by as much as 15,000, or 10 percent, over the next seven years, according to a study this year by the New England Board of Higher Education.</p>
<p>In addition, nearly one-third of high school graduates in Massachusetts now leave the state for college, although most stay in New England. And while an influx of immigrants has prevented Massachusetts from losing population in recent years, students in those families are less likely to attend college.</p>
<p>“Things don’t look so good in the Northeast,” said Becky Brodigan, the director of institutional research for Middlebury College who has studied the trend. “Most colleges are primarily regional, so we’re really stealing students from each other. The whole mix together is not a pretty picture.”</p>
<p>Despite its status as America’s college town, Boston and New England colleges can be a tough sell in the Sun Belt. The higher cost, climate, and distance from home are all hurdles, admissions officers say. Only about 10 percent of students in Texas and California, states with strong and affordable public college systems, cross state lines to attend college anywhere else in the country.