This is a fascinating question and I have NO idea where other kids who are applying look like so it’s been so difficult to see where my kid might stack up for the elite colleges. I have erred on the side of assuming a REA rejection and prepping her for it, just due to sheer numbers. Perfect stats just aren’t enough, I know that much. Finally, if there is a southwest wind blowing through New Haven on the day the committee finalizes decisions it could change everything! (That pretty much summarizes how I feel about this process right now.)