WUSTL and Case are reaches. In their Case is a target but you need to ED to say that. And you can’t ED if not affordable.
Lots of CA schools will make budget. U of Az is one of the tops in Physics. ASU is good and you have WUE for budget purposes.
Fill out the CWRU net price calculator to see if you’d get need aid. Otherwyse it’s possible but a big reach.
But lots of schools will make budget.