Chance and reverse chance a CA junior!

If you are not within the CSULB local admission areas, then it is not a Safety but a solid Match school. When you look at # of Cal states within California vs. UC’s, the CSU’s graduate more highly productive students than the UC’s. CSU’s like San Diego State, Cal Poly SLO and even Cal Poly Pomona have majors that have acceptance rates lower than some of the UC’s, so your perspective is your perspective but a bit skewed.

Regents or any significant Merit scholarships for the UC’s make these Reach schools. Regular admission to UCI and UCD would put them in the Match category however. If your EFC is low, you should get a decent amount of need-based financial aid from the UC’s which hopefully will make them affordable. Definitely run the NPC’s.

I would agree that you need to work on your college list and if CSULB is not a school you are willing to attend, then do not add it to your list. A safety school has be school you are willing to attend no matter what.

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