Entomology at Madison is in CALS, which has a bit higher acceptance rate (around 50% from what I could find, compared to 43% overall, and thus probably a more forgiving stat profile as well), so that may help. OP’s weighted GPA isn’t eye-catchingly low, and NMSF is an eye-catcher in the positive direction. I think it’s worth a try if the projected cost is acceptable. Whether it would be a meaningfully better outcome than other flagships with strong entomology programs, I don’t know… but in a hard-to-chance situation like this, I think it’s best to cast a relatively wide net and worry about which schools best optimize fit+reputation+value once the results are in.
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