Congratulations on making yourself such a strong candidate! I too am a bit surprised by the combination of schools on your list in combination with your preferences and interests. (I would not describe NYU as having lots of nature and greenery.) I’ve sorted your schools by my guesses as to what your chances might be.
Extremely Likely (80-99+%)
- U. of Maryland (only if you apply EA)
- U. of Massachusetts
Likely (60-79%)
Toss-Up (40-59%)
- Bryn Mawr
Lower Probability (20-39%)
- Northeastern (they want a lot of demonstrated interest)
- Vassar
- Villanova
Low Probability (less than 20%)
- Amherst
- Barnard
- Brown (ED is 15%, and many ED applicants have been pre-approved via recruiting))
- Cornell
- NYU
- Swarthmore (ED is 19%, and many ED applicants have already been pre-approved via recruiting)
- Wellesley
- Wesleyan