Your LORs aren’t about are you a good student. If you’re asking a teacher, they should know you. They should know what you do out of class.
The schools know if you’re a good student by your grades. They want to know about you - your traits, characteristics, what you like to do, etc…
It seems odd that some schools would give so much but others full pay. Yes, aid will vary but it shouldn’t by $40 or $50K per school. Not sure the amounts you are saying but perhaps your family isn’t filling out the NPCs accurately.
I think each school on your list is possible but then doesn’t mean probable.
What do you like about these schools - there are some differences.
And what is your budget - for auto merit purposes?
Ps your school’s college counselor should have some guidance for you based on past students.