I feel the need to add some actual statistics to this interesting (but somewhat flawed IMHO) discussion around who gets deferred to RD and why, how the U worries about yield, etc.
42,765
applications to the undergraduate Class of 2029
2,418
admitted to the undergraduate Class of 2029
5.65%
What their website doesn’t include is that a 5.65% admissions rate means a REJECTION RATE of over 94%. Let that sink in. It is so tempting to conclude that most of those 94% were unqualified, admitted to a felony conviction on their application, or could barely write a coherent paragraph let alone an entire essay.
You would be mistaken.
And while it is technically true that the adcom’s do not know who is in the RD pool when they are making decisions about the early pool, it is a mistake to conclude that the dialogue is along the lines of “hey, we have a decent tennis player here who worked at an animal shelter last summer and is in the top 10% of his class. We’d better snap him up just in case the RD pool has no tennis players who love animals”.
OP- you sound terrific, and any college would be lucky to have you. Get that Maryland application in as early as you can, figure out if you like Penn State enough (and if it’s truly affordable and you are truly an auto-admit) and then shoot your shot. But do NOT underestimate the strength of the early pool at any of your reaches, and do not assume that any of your reaches are going to become matches just because you apply EA.
Good luck!
And a point about yield- the waitlist is the “enrollment tool of last resort”, not deferring an EA candidate to RD and hoping that they haven’t fallen in love with another college between December and April. That’s not how deferrals work at Brown.
The vast majority of Brown early deferrals are “soft rejections”. They are the children of alums who have donated both money and time to the University. They are the children of faculty and staff (who typically have a finger on the scale already to maintain good Town/Gown relationships in Providence and the rest of a very small state) who just don’t quite have the academic profile. They are the children of generous donors (whether legacies or not) who don’t have the goods. Or they are students with a wobbly profile, and the U genuinely wants to see those senior year first semester grades to confirm that the student is, in fact- a consistent performer who hit a roadblock back then.
The U does NOT defer early applicants because they are worried about yield from RD. That’s what the waitlist is for, that’s what the waitlist does. The U knows how many beds it needs to fill except for a few dozen students who may need to take a break, returning seniors who decide to stay at their overseas fellowship for an extra semester, a few Gap year kids who decide not to show up. But these are manageable numbers for the most part. So if yield is up- only modest admissions from the waitlist. Yield is down, more aggressive admissions from the waitlist. But gaming the RD pool by cherrypicking the unsuccessful Early applicants? Doesn’t work that way.