Interesting. Why do you think Oberlin is highly unlikely but Occidental be more of a “reasonable” reach? (I think that’s what you are saying?). Theses two schools have very similar CDS profile when comparing:
Mid-50 test scores (1380/90 - 1490)
Average GPA (3.7)
Percent admitted with GPA in the OP’s current range (13-15%)
Percent admitted with GPA in the OP’s target range (29%)
Overall acceptance rate (33% vs 36%)
I agree they are both reaches for OP but these two schools seem really pretty similar on these acceptance stats so wondering why you think one is so much less likely than the other?
And, IF OP raises GPA to the 3.6/3.7 range as they hope to, and increase math SAT a bit, I would put both of these in the low reach/high target category. Good luck OP!