Thanks to everyone for their help! I’ve refined my list here and I think this is more reasonable. Assuming I have a 3.6 by senior year, (which I should, I’m a good student who just dealt with a lot of obstacles freshman year), and retake my SAT to get a higher math score, this is what I’m working with:
Safeties: CWU, SOU, Evergreen State
Likely: Hampshire, Lewis and Clark, UPS
Lower Probability: Whitman, St. Olaf
Lowest Probability: Scripps, Oberlin, Mount Holyoke
Does this look more well rounded? Lmk!
I’ll refine this based on aid calculations with my moms.