Why not ED? What is your college budget? Run each school’s net price calculator (NPC) to get a cost estimate. If your parents are divorced, own real estate beyond a primary home, and/or own a business the NPC may not be accurate…are any of those the case for you?
I agree you need a balanced list, including at least one affordable safety. What school (schools) will be your safety? Perhaps your state flagship? What state do you live in? Would you consider liberal arts colleges?