Chance me/Match me as an above average high school student [NY 3.5 UW gpa 33 ACT]

U of SC - target at best with the GPA if applying to business. Likely if not business.

Penn State - safe for school but not business. Syracuse - you’re full pay so target best case. Same with Fairfield.

Toss up - I’d say likely Providence. Bing I’ll agree.

No to your lower and low probability.

I think you need to “expand” your list.

The safe move with a big name is Bama which has a well known B School - Culverhouse. But if you want to be in a city like U of SC, then College of Charleston is safe.

Other B schools that have nice names that are likely - Miami Ohio (Farmer), U Delaware, and URI.

If you like SU, U Denver is a home run school that would be safe. Or if you want to stay East, Bryant would work.

You may get into a school on your list - but you may not and I’m suggesting you add buffer. Perhaps I’m too conservative but I think you over played your odds a bit.

Good luck.