Chance me/Match me as an above average high school student [NY 3.5 UW gpa 33 ACT]

I would switch Fairfield and Providence on your lists. Fairfield is a hot school and it has become increasingly more difficult to get accepted there. You GPA is 25th percentile and that is very important to them. Fewer than 20% of last year’s freshman class even submitted test scores there, so your ACT won’t help much and they don’t consider it an important factor for admission anyway. You do check all the boxes for Providence, on the other hand, and are a likely admit there. Fairfield is a toss up.

I would also move Binghamton from toss up to lower probability. It has become a very tough admit for in state students. My instate GS was in the top 10% of his class and had a strong SAT but was rejected. And yet he was accepted at UMASS into their Honors program with a very good financial package. You might want to consider UMass. Their Isenberg Business School is excellent. As far as SUNY is concerned, I think you’d be likely at Buffalo and a toss up at either Stony Brook or Albany.