Chance of getting rejected from all ivies + S&M?

<p>Here are the chances of getting rejected from the top 11 (Ivies and MIT, CalTech, Stanford):</p>

<p>Chance of being rejected (these figures are from 09, because it was the best source I had):</p>

<p>Harvard 92
Yale 91
Princeton 90
Columbia 89
Brown 89
Dartmouth 87
Cornell 79
UPenn 83
Stanford 91
MIT 90
CalTech 90</p>

<hr>

<p>Chance of being rejected from all of them ~ 25.1%</p>

<p>That means, that if one applies to all top 11 schools, one has a 74.9% chance at getting into one. Do these numbers reassure you?</p>

<p>That’s assuming the applicant pool is the same for each school, which it isn’t.</p>

<p>Also assuming everyone has the same chance of getting into each school regardless of qualifications, which is also untrue.</p>

<p>Meh.</p>

<p>Yea, but how many people do you know who apply to every school?</p>

<p>Why is this in the SAT and ACT Tests & Prep forum?</p>

<p>As was mentioned above, those techniques only work when they are independent probabilities. In reality, an applicant usually has much better or much worse chances. For example, someone with a 1000/2400 on the SAT probably has a 100% chance of getting rejected from all of them…</p>