Chances for Out of State Admission to UVA

From NY, my kid’s Naviance indicates a pretty high average accepted GPA for UVA; my son is applying, and GPA is his weakness, also, so I looked it up. But NY probably sends more applications to UVA than TX. Another school my son is looking at (he’s also a prospective history major) is College of William and Mary, also very good for history, a little bit easier to get into, I think, but I don’t know about their FA.