Chances for UC Berkeley, Cornell, Duke?

GPA:
Weighted: 4.20
Unweighted: 4.00

UC GPA:
Full weighted: 4.33
Capped weighted: 4.33
Unweighted: 4.00

Rank: top 10% (by decile)

Exams:
New SAT: 1510
SAT Subject: Math 2 - 800, Bio E - 790
AP: Calc BC - 5, Bio - 4, Lang - 3

Not a whole lot of ECs, but dedicated to a few. No impressive awards. Taking 5 APs this year, likely all A’s.
Applying as bio major for Berkeley and Duke, entomology for Cornell.

I need specifics b

UC Berkeley: Match. 40 to 60%.
Cornell: High match to low reach. 20 to 40%.
Duke: High reach. Below 20%.

If these are the only schools you’re applying to, I’d suggest adding a few low matches or safeties, like UC Davis or RIT.

Berkeley - Maybe around a 40% chance, maybe a little higher
Cornell - Around 30%, but possibly better if you wrote great essays
Duke - Slimmest chance, around 15% or less.

Generally, while you have good stats, there isn’t much about your application that I can see which would really excite a college admissions officer. They’re going to see someone who’s studious, yes, but they want someone who will really add to their campus. Cornell, Berkeley, and Duke all get a lot of people with a lot of great stats. If you made yourself into someone special in your essays, your chances can go up, but right now I think the fatal flaw for a lot of these places is that you application may look boring. Good luck regardless.

Chance me back?
http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/what-my-chances/1952697-chance-please-will-chance-back.html#latest

@KingBibi I’m in California, so I applied to UC Davis, San Diego, and Santa Cruz as safeties.

@Plumbus Yea, my application probably looks sort of dull compared to other applicants, but I spend a lot of time at home studying insects which I put as an EC (25 hrs/week) and wrote a lot about my them in my essays. It’s definitely unique, but it’s pretty much the only thing I do besides piano and a few random clubs (pretty boring, I know). I’m hoping Cornell will accept me though because I demonstrated a lot of interest in insects and their entomology program, but then again they probably have a very self-selecting pool of applicants for that major even if it’s unpopular.

Also, chanced you back.

You have excellent stats, but UC Davis and UC San Diego are definitely not safeties, more like solid Match schools. UC Santa Cruz would be the only school that I would label as a safety.

UC Berkeley - Low Reach, 50% - > accept
Cornell - Reach, 30% -> reject
Duke - Reach, 30% -> reject

UC Davis, UCSD, UCSC - all accept