Chances of getting merit aid at these schools

Utah includes merit aid for stats in the NPC, but it is backwards looking and so as the pool of applicants gets better, it can be a bit overstated. I think you are probably just below the OOS 4 year full tuition scholarship cutoff (likely 4.0UW/34ACT) but would probably get a full tuition scholarship for the first year and then you could get residency and pay instate rates. With good ECs you could also apply for one of their 30 competitive full ride Eccles scholarships (applications are in Feb after initial admission decisions).

It will probably be one of the cheapest options on this list, even if you are in-state for the CA schools. You must apply by Nov 1 to get decent merit aid.