You have gotten some suggestions about colleges where chances of acceptance are better. Really…you need to find one or two affordable, sure things for admission that your student likes. Please do that first. Your list of reach schools is fine, but they are not predictable in terms of chance me because so many well qualified applicants apply, and the admission rates are low.
I would urge you to read this thread I’m about to link. The student in this thread was top notch, much like your student. No one expected him to be denied acceptance everywhere he applied, but that’s what happened…I’m talking class val, NMF, great ECs and LOR…really a great student. This is an old thread and admissions have on,y become more competitive. Please…read this whole thread.
This student did land well on his feet after a great and well crafted gap year. But their senior year in high school was not a happy time. You don’t want your student to be in this situation.