<p>* Yea I have a hard time believing there is 0 advantage to applying early when the acceptance rates are so radically different (20 to 5), which is partly why I’m leaning towards just going for it. *</p>
<p>My answer to this is always - what reason does Harvard have to lie to anyone? If anything they would want to encourage students to select SCEA because it benefits them so much. Remember who applies during SCEA - development admits, generations-long legacies, recruited athletes, students who have their stuff together enough to decide that Harvard is their first choice by the summer before, students who go to high-powered schools with dedicated counselors for organizing these kinds of things.</p>
<p>I’m not saying that there’s absolutely not higher chances for an individual student to get in during SCEA rather than RD, but there’s simply no way to know for sure. It doesn’t seem likely.</p>
<p>* EA is also an advantage to the admitted students, since an early admission (if affordable) can allow the student to reduce the number of other schools to apply to, since an affordable early admission turns the school into a safety. *</p>
<p>Given that you don’t find out until mid-December and given that many colleges’ merit scholarship deadlines are through early programs with deadlines between November and late January, a student would at least need to begin working on some application essays and collecting materials before they found out from Harvard - and in a large number of cases would be prohibited from applying to those schools’ scholarship programs altogether.</p>
<p>Besides, getting admitted to Harvard doesn’t mean that you’ll get the financial aid package early - you can’t turn in FAFSA until January 1 of the year you plan to attend, and most parents don’t get tax documents until mid-to-late January. I mean, families in certain brackets (especially less than $80,000) can be reasonably sure that their financial aid to Harvard will be pretty good, but if you have significant assets or a complicated financial picture…you may not know. (Perhaps they work out some special deal with SCEA applicants for them to get estimated packages earlier, I don’t know.)</p>
<p>I think of two examples from my individual case - I applied to two schools that gave me full or close to full merit scholarships. Both of them required me to apply Early Action in order to be eligible for the scholarships; the early action deadline for one was December 1 and for the other one was November 15. Harvard would basically be asking me to sacrifice my virtually guaranteed acceptance and very good chance at merit scholarships from these two schools for the possibility that they might admit me, at a school with a 6% admission rate (and yes, a 20% SCEA admission rate - but that by their own admission is due to the competitive students in the pool).</p>
<p>Every person has to do their own risk-benefit analysis, of course.</p>