<p>@Jarjarbinkks, your post above confuses me. You said you got a 203. What is the issue with 230 you are talking about? </p>
<p>Wait, all someone has to do is ask their principal…so what are we waiting for???</p>
<p>The estimated contact date is “April”…and given our “state summaries in February” (Feb 28th), I wouldn’t start expecting that info quite yet. </p>
<p>I’m not clear either on what information the principals get. I think it’s a list of names, rather than an actual cut score. A larger school with several kids hovering around that 200-203 mark could discern the exact cut, but I think the principal would have to do some work from there. I’m not expecting much from our school, where typically very few kids top 200.</p>
<p>“In April of 2014, NMSC will ask high school principals to identify any errors or changes in the reported eligibility of their high scorers (students whose scores qualify them for recognition).”</p>
<p>@crtexxx, as @PAMom21 said, the principal probably just gets names. The only way the info would show up here is IF a principal tells kids their names were or were not on the list, and then the kids post on CC something like “my principal says I am/am not on the list and my score was X”</p>
<p>Well, it’s April. One month closer to September. <em>sigh</em> </p>
<p>My plan is to wait until the middle of the month, and then harass my principal, LOL!</p>
<p>@PAMom21 make sure to let us know!!!</p>
<p>what kind of system is this where some folks will know the results months ahead!?</p>
<p>All that will be known is who is commended. The schedule for that is no different than it has ever been, though the means of notification may have changed (???) </p>
<p>sm577501…What the folks here are referring to was trying to use the Commended cutoff score to “guesstimate” whether the state cutoffs might be higher, lower, or the same relative to past years. The state cutoff scores will not “officially” be announced until September but the crafty, dedicated folks here on CC :-c will start “bracketing” the cutoff scores in late August to early September as some of the home-schooled kids start to get notified (parents are the “principal equivalent”) and some schools notify their semi-finalists faster than others. Historically, most of the state cutoffs will be figured out via CC before NMSC makes their official announcement.</p>
<p>And NMSC’s official announcement never includes the state cutoffs. They just announce the names and schools of semifinalists to the media.</p>
<p>^^^ Yes, it’s all figured out by who makes it, and who doesn’t!</p>
<p>I’m not expecting much from our principal anyway, especially if it’s just by names. We typically have less than 3 even at the commendation level, and this year it might very well be just my son. And given he’s considerably about the 201-203 estimated commendation, his name on the list won’t be helpful at all. </p>
<p>But IF they get an actual level, I might be able to weasel that info out of my GC, if not the principal. Or maybe a more borderline student will qualify that I can discreetly ask.</p>
<p>Last year this was posted on our school’s website:</p>
<p>With a Selection Index score of 203 or above, LACES had 22 students qualify for the 2014 National Merit Scholarship Program. Each of these students is among the 50,000 highest scoring participants of some 1.5 million students who took the 2012 Preliminary SAT/National Merit Scholarship Program.</p>
<p>Now, maybe our school figured out it was 203 by looking at all of the scores from the 200 or so juniors who took the PSAT, or maybe the cutoff was reported to them from NMSC last April. I would tend to think the latter.</p>
<p>Does commendation helps? In what way?</p>
<p>yea, commendation is notable, but the big scholarships and free rides to state schools come with national merit.</p>
<p>Here are PSAT score cutoffs for NMSF for the last 7 years. Source of data:
<a href=“http://hubpages.com/hub/National-Merit”>http://hubpages.com/hub/National-Merit</a></p>
<p>Columns are:
- Class of 2008
- Class of 2009
- Class of 2010
- Class of 2011
- Class of 2012
- Class of 2013
- Class of 2014
- State/region</p>
<pre><code>2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 State
</code></pre>
<p>| 209 | 209 | 208 | 210 | 211 | 209 | 211 | Alabama
| 213 | 212 | 211 | 214 | 212 | 204 | 212 | Alaska
| 211 | 209 | 210 | 209 | 213 | 212 | 214 | Arizona
| 201 | 204 | 203 | 203 | 205 | 202 | 205 | Arkansas
| 218 | 217 | 218 | 219 | 221 | 220 | 223 | California
| 213 | 213 | 213 | 212 | 215 | 212 | 215 | Colorado
| 217 | 218 | 218 | 219 | 220 | 218 | 221 | Connecticut
| 219 | 219 | 219 | 215 | 217 | 215 | 218 | Delaware
| 223 | 221 | 221 | 223 | 223 | 221 | 224 | District of Columbia
| 212 | 211 | 211 | 210 | 214 | 211 | 214 | Florida
| 214 | 215 | 214 | 215 | 218 | 214 | 217 | Georgia
| 213 | 216 | 214 | 215 | 216 | 211 | 215 | Hawaii
| 204 | 208 | 209 | 208 | 211 | 207 | 211 | Idaho
| 213 | 214 | 214 | 214 | 216 | 213 | 216 | Illinois
| 213 | 213 | 211 | 212 | 214 | 211 | 215 | Indiana
| 209 | 210 | 209 | 209 | 210 | 207 | 210 | Iowa
| 212 | 211 | 211 | 211 | 214 | 212 | 216 | Kansas
| 208 | 209 | 209 | 208 | 212 | 208 | 211 | Kentucky
| 206 | 208 | 207 | 210 | 209 | 209 | 209 | Louisiana
| 211 | 212 | 213 | 213 | 212 | 210 | 215 | Maine
| 221 | 220 | 221 | 220 | 221 | 219 | 223 | Maryland
| 223 | 221 | 221 | 223 | 223 | 221 | 224 | Massachusetts
| 209 | 209 | 209 | 209 | 210 | 207 | 210 | Michigan
| 213 | 214 | 215 | 213 | 215 | 213 | 215 | Minnesota
| 202 | 201 | 203 | 205 | 205 | 204 | 207 | Mississippi
| 211 | 213 | 211 | 210 | 213 | 210 | 213 | Missouri
| 207 | 208 | 204 | 208 | 209 | 203 | 207 | Montana
| 207 | 206 | 207 | 210 | 209 | 207 | 209 | Nebraska
| 208 | 206 | 202 | 208 | 209 | 208 | 212 | Nevada
| 215 | 211 | 213 | 214 | 216 | 211 | 214 | New Hampshire
| 221 | 220 | 221 | 221 | 223 | 221 | 224 | New Jersey
| 208 | 209 | 208 | 206 | 210 | 208 | 210 | New Mexico
| 219 | 216 | 218 | 217 | 219 | 215 | 219 | New York
| 214 | 215 | 214 | 214 | 217 | 213 | 215 | North Carolina
| 202 | 201 | 202 | 202 | 204 | 200 | 204 | North Dakota
| 211 | 213 | 211 | 212 | 214 | 212 | 215 | Ohio
| 207 | 208 | 207 | 206 | 209 | 206 | 210 | Oklahoma
| 213 | 213 | 213 | 215 | 216 | 213 | 218 | Oregon
| 214 | 213 | 214 | 216 | 215 | 214 | 217 | Pennsylvania
| 212 | 213 | 217 | 211 | 213 | 211 | 216 | Rhode Island
| 210 | 212 | 211 | 208 | 211 | 208 | 210 | South Carolina
| 203 | 205 | 205 | 205 | 206 | 204 | 206 | South Dakota
| 213 | 213 | 213 | 212 | 214 | 210 | 212 | Tennessee
| 215 | 215 | 216 | 215 | 219 | 216 | 219 | Texas
| 202 | 203 | 206 | 203 | 208 | 205 | 208 | Utah
| 216 | 213 | 213 | 212 | 217 | 214 | 217 | Vermont
| 217 | 219 | 218 | 218 | 220 | 217 | 222 | Virginia
| 215 | 217 | 217 | 218 | 220 | 216 | 220 | Washington
| 200 | 203 | 203 | 202 | 204 | 200 | 203 | West Virginia
| 208 | 210 | 207 | 209 | 209 | 207 | 210 | Wisconsin
| 200 | 201 | 201 | 202 | 204 | 200 | 203 | Wyoming
| 223 | 221 | 221 | 223 | 223 | 221 | 224 | International</p>
<p>For Class of 2015, my prediction for **California<a href=“based%20on%20a%20linear%20regression”>/b</a> is:
- base case: 223
- high side: 224</p>
<p>hey, @GMTplus7, can you please do a prediction for MD by regression?
Also, how is regression accurate for cutoffs? The curve doesn’t necessarily have to follow a given function for scores…</p>
<p>@ROCKFISHDG, would you mind updating the thread if your HS updates its web site for this year?</p>
<p>@GMTplus7, thanks for your post. DS has a 213 in Kansas so…while NMSF is doubtful, and we aren’t planning on it…the “waiting” is hard…</p>
<p>@GMTplus7, I thought PSAT cutoff for CA should be at most 223 given both reading/writing are lower comparing with last year. Why do you think it will between 223 and 224? Thanks,</p>