Coronavirus in the US

I just want to post this link again, which someone posted (what feels like) a million or so posts (but probably only three days) ago. It is a very sobering modeling tool.

“This tool is built to enable political leaders to quickly make decisions in their Coronavirus response informed by best available data and modeling.”

All of us should take a look at projections for this pandemic’s effect on our own state, depending on the state doing nothing, social distancing or more stringent quarantining.

Thank you to whoever originally posted this link. I’ve had it open on a tab for several days now.

https://covidactnow.org/

Russian president Vladimir Putin has toured Russia’s main hospital treating coronavirus patients, donning a full-body protective suit and respirator mask, reports my colleague Andrew Roth in Moscow.

The number of confirmed victims of the virus in Russia now stands at 500 people.

The visit by Putin, 67, comes as Russia gradually tightens quarantine measures on its citizens, with Moscow telling seniors to stay home and the mayor Sergei Sobyanin warning Putin that the true number of infected was likely higher than the official numbers showed.

“The dynamics are quite high. It’s a serious situation,” said Sobyanin, the mayor, during a meeting with Putin

A video of Putin donning the yellow protective suit and respirator mask were published by Russian journalists on Tuesday. The Russian president has in the past developed the image of an action man, posing shirtless on a horse, diving beneath the waters of the Black Sea in a minisub and shooting a whale from a dart gun on a rubber dinghy.

Although seniors in Moscow have been told to self-quarantine, Putin’s staff have said that he’ll continue to work a normal schedule. The order has an exemption for executives working in “vital roles” in the government.

The visit came on the same day as a woman reportedly died at the Kommunarka hospital near Moscow. Russian officials have said that the woman was not infected with the coronavirus infection, and had passed away due to complications from cancer. So far Russia has had only one death officially attributed to the virus, but there are concerns that infection cases have gone undercounted, including as pneumonia.

Putin on Tuesday also visited a pop-up hospital being built on Moscow’s outskirts with a reported 500 beds for victims of the coronavirus. (Guardian)

Also, why did they have them? Isn’t that weird for software companies to have so many masks?

you mean free cell phones are not important in this health crisis? [do we have a sarcasm font?] :smile:

The rate of infection in NY is doubling every 3 days. There were 13,000 cases. Now there are 25,656 cases. Soon it will be (3 days out) 50k, (6 days out) 100k, (9 days out) 200k…

It’s not until the second week of illness that people are hospitalized (about 15% of diagnosed cases), so we are already on a trajectory of overload that is not stoppable. It’s not something you can wait and react to, but that’s just what we’ve done and it will be bad.

Andrew Cuomo
@NYGovCuomo
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14m
My mother is not expendable. Your mother is not expendable.

We will not put a dollar figure on human life.

We can have a public health strategy that is consistent with an economic one.

No one should be talking about social darwinism for the sake of the stock market.

Are they in CA? They may have gotten it during the fire last year. Tech employees were given a mask to wear last year when the smoke was bad.

We can and do put a dollar value on human life, especially in the healthcare industry. This practice is accepted in many countries.

From an article today ‘Economic Cost of Flattening the Curve’ at the Incidental Economist .com (among the best at what they do). They also take great care to not be political.

…

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European Union urged to evacuate overcrowded Greek island camps

Jennifer Rankin, Guardian

The European Union has been urged to evacuate asylum seekers from overcrowded camps on the Greek islands in order to save lives.

The European parliament’s civil liberties, justice and home affairs committee has called for the evacuation of 42,000 people on the Greek islands as “an urgent preventive” measure to avoid “many deaths” from coronavirus.

The first case of Covid-19 on the islands was confirmed earlier this month when a Greek woman on Lesbos tested positive. MEPs fear that if the virus spreads it could become a public health emergency in the squalid camps, where thousands live in unsanitary conditions, often without electricity, heating or running water.

“Many of those in the camps are already in precarious health situations due to the bad conditions in which they have lived for a long time,” states the letter from Juan Fernando López Aguilar, a Spanish socialist MEP, who chairs the committee. “There is no chance of isolation or social distancing, nor is it possible to ensure appropriate hygienic conditions,” he wrote.

Romania’s president, Klaus Iohannis, has announced the country will go into a full lockdown on Wednesday to slow the spread of the new coronavirus, with the army deployed to help enforce it.

“Romanians will face new restrictions,” Iohannis said in a televised address, citing the “complexity of the situation”.

Romania had already introduced a state of emergency and a night-time curfew but Iohannis announced that as of Wednesday, the previous “recommendation” to citizens to stay indoors “will become an obligation based on the principle: ‘We’re staying at home’”.

The AFP news agency reported that Romanians will only be allowed to leave their houses during the day to go to work or get essential supplies.

People over 65 years old - one of the groups most at risk from complications from the virus - are to be barred from leaving the house altogether.

Police and gendarmes have been enforcing the night-time curfew since Monday evening and will now be joined by the army.

Romania reported 762 confirmed cases of Covid-19 on Tuesday, a jump of almost 200 from the previous day, with eight deaths.

Poland bans gatherings of more than two people

Poland’s prime minister Mateusz Morawiecki has announced a series of new restrictions in the country in a televised briefing together with the minister of health, writes the Guardian’s central and eastern Europe correspondent, Shaun Walker, from Budapest.

As of tomorrow, gatherings of more than two people are prohibited. People can still leave home to go to work, buy medicine or take exercise. “But this does not mean we are to gather, or that we can go to the playground with children,” said health minister Łukasz Szumowski.

The move makes Poland the latest European nation to go into lockdown over coronavirus. Other measures announced on Tuesday included limiting the number of passengers on public transport to 50% of the seat capacity to ensure distancing.

Poland introduced some of the earliest restrictions on Europe, despite a relatively low number of cases. The country shut its borders to foreign citizens on 15 March, and most flight and train connections were swiftly cancelled.

It has also closed schools, cinemas and theatres and had already introduced a “state of epidemic” which recommended people to stay at home. Poland currently has 774 confirmed cases of coronavirus and nine deaths.

Service personel in Afghanistan test postive for coronavirus

Akhtar Mohammad Makoii
Four service members of international coalition forces tested positive for Coronavirus in Afghanista, writes my colleague Akhtar Mohammad Makoii.

The headquarters of Resolute Support, NATO mission in Afghanistan, said in a statement that the service members were newly arrived to Afghanistan and were in a screening facility when they became symptomatic and were moved to isolation.

“Nationalities and details will be withheld pending release from the appropriate national authorities” the statement said.

“There are approximately 1500 servicemembers and civilians living in screening facilities as preventative measure. Most are either newly - arriving or returning from leave. These service members are living in screening facilities out of an abundance of caution, not because they are sick”.

Guardian

The driver of Brazil’s far-right president, Jair Bolsonaro, has reportedly been taken to hospital with breathing problems and been tested for coronavirus, reports my colleague Tom Phillips in Rio.

According to the Correio Braziliense newspaper the driver was admitted to a hospital in the capital Brasília and is waiting on test results.

If confirmed, the driver would be at least the 24th person close to Bolsonaro to come down with the illness. Twenty-three members of a delegation Bolsonaro recently led to meet Donald Trump in the United States – including his US ambassador, chief foreign policy adviser and communications chief – have tested positive.

Bolsonaro, meanwhile, has claimed he has tested negative but refused to publish the results and many Brazilians are unconvinced by Bolsonaro’s claims.

On Monday, Brazilian health officials said they had registered 1,891 cases of coronavirus and 34 deaths from coronavirus, the majority in the south-east of the country. (Guardian)

https://www.washingtonpost.com/nation/2020/03/24/coronavirus-second-homes/

Wealthy city dwellers escape to their vacation homes. (Unconcerned about spreading it around).

It’s just like the king escaping London during the plague years.

It’s easy to say when you are rich from birth to death guaranteed as the governor. and entitled to lifetime pensions.

Btw pension funds are in trouble too. Many were woefully underfunded. Calpers the large public pension has lost 65 billion dollars so far.

Watch how important the stock market will be to cuomo when they let him know to announce cuts in payments. That will be received well.

I wish throw away sound bite statements like this get ignored.

And it’s a false statement because no one is saying that in reality.

I know a lot of poor grandmothers and young mothers who will not have access to an income that shouldn’t be sacrificed either.

Correct. The tech companies purchased a stockpile based on all the smoke from wild fires that hit the Bay Area every couple of years.

Elon Musk just bought and shipped 1,000 ventilators from China to California.

Wisconsin governor’s stay-at-home order, issued earlier today: https://content.govdelivery.com/attachments/WIGOV/2020/03/24/file_attachments/1409408/Health%20Order%20%2312%20Safer%20At%20Home.pdf?fbclid=IwAR0LIJKAHc84z2GHAfUXgDjI-utxE2doIKA7np-DTL4hCBRH4WHM2rWLXuo

Regarding the pensions: They’ve lost a huge percentage of the funds they were relying on to pay government workers’ pensions in the future. Government workers may not be getting the defined benefits promised. Taxpayers won’t have the means to pay additional taxes to pay those pensions either.

Australia: new restrictions as experts warn of 50,000 cases by Easter

PM Scott Morrison has announced new restrictions as experts in Australia warn the country could have 50,000 new cases by Easter.

The national cabinet has agreed to extend the restrictions on indoor gatherings, announced on Sunday, to include a range of new closures.

They include auction houses, food courts in shopping centres and some markets, although the markets will be decided by state and territory governments.
There are also bans on beauty services, tanning services, tattoo parlours, waxing salons and nail salons.
Hairdressers and barbers can continue to operate provided each client is in and out in 30 minutes.

WHO: US has potential to be “epicentre of outbreak”

A spokeswoman from the World Health Organisation has said the US risks becoming the next centre of the coronavirus outbreak as the country is experiencing a “very large acceleration” in cases.

Dutch government implements “intelligent lockdown”

The Dutch government has strengthened its measures to halt the spread of coronavirus by imposing what prime minister Mark Rutte called an “intelligent lockdown”, writes my colleague Jennifer Rankin in Brussels.

All public gatherings regardless of size are now banned until 1 June, in a tightening of earlier restrictions that had banned events of more than 100 people. Some exemptions on weddings and funerals are to be set out by the government.

Mayors are empowered to close beaches, parks, campsites and other public spaces if people are not respecting social distancing rules that require them to keep 1.5 metres away from others.

Police will be given the power to break up groups of more than three people who fail to keep their distance in public, unless they live under the same roof. Individuals can be fined up to €400 (£372) and shops up to €4,000 for failing to follow the rules.

The Dutch government had already ordered the closures of schools, bars and restaurants, as well as cannabis cafes and sex clubs.

Rutte said the Netherlands was going into “intelligent lockdown” but warned that further restrictions would follow if current measures did not work.

As the website DutchNews reported, he chastised young people who appeared unconcerned.

I was very irritated by the young people I saw on television saying they were not worried. If you do get sick, you can infect others. We live with 17 million people together.

Guardian

Good thing, bcos no one is saying that they are.

Sure we do, and do it every day.

Exactly, but the question is where do you draw the line? Two weeks, four weeks, 12 weeks, 24 weeks…? The devil is in the details. (btw: The Prez was saying that we can have a PH strategy and an economic yesterday, when he said ‘we can do two things at once’.)

Again, no one is saying that they are.

Come on, Gov. You had a impressive ~week of pressers. Don’t muck it up with false statements. Don’t attack a straw man.

The Defense Production Act doesn’t need to be used to “force” anybody to manufacture anything, companies are leaping at the opportunity to fill the need as soon as they can figure out what the need is.

On the other hand, it can be used to prioritize who gets what parts and materials that feed into the manufacturing process. For instance, if a small but difficult to source widget can be used both in ventilators and aquarium filters (made up example), DPA can force the supplier of that widget to direct output to the ventilator manufacturer instead of the aquarium filter supplier.

That might apply to materials used in masks or other hard to source items.

The FEMA people who brief always repeat the mantra:
“Locally executed, state managed, federally supported.”
That’s not a cop-out, that’s a feature. It is the way our emergency management is designed, and the way I believe it works best. Cutting out the in-depth situational awareness and local subject matter knowledge and running everything from Washington DC would be a mistake. Train like you fight and fight like you train.

Pricing will be an issue for some supplies, but sometimes for good reasons.

A company that has been making masks or ventilators for years has the tooling, training, and process control to do it efficiently, and their price will reflect it. The auto makers are going to have to figure some things out to make ventilators, and their costs will be higher.

I’m ok paying more to get more capacity in place for this surge.