I note to the extent I got much out of carefully studying SCOIR data for our HS, I think a lot of it took the form of seeing what colleges appeared to have tighter clouds, and which fuzzier.
All had outliers, which I assumed were often hooked students (and in fact I got some confirmation when they added S24’s class, since I knew who a lot of those data points actually were in real life, which is kinda creepy but it wasn’t like I could unknow it).
But some looked notably better defined than others. And I interpreted that as the tighter colleges being more numbers-driven for our kids (in relative terms), and the fuzzier colleges being more non-numbers-driven (again in relative terms).
Anyway, complicated, but I think worth keeping in mind as one possible interpretation. What I would definitely NOT do is assume our HS was necessarily representative of other high schools. Meaning I could see College being tight on the numbers for us, fuzzy for a different high school, which in fact they more or less say they do.