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<p>The $1,000 cost estimate is hysterically wrong. If that’s all it costs, why does the Prius, a small sedan with at best marginal performance, barely meets the EPA requirement, and costs $7,000 more than a Corolla. Even a base Camry – a much larger car than the Prius – costs $2,500 less. </p>
<p>An even better comparison is the Ford Escape and Escape Hybrid. The basic Escape lists for about $19,000. The hybrid, which doesn’t quite make the 35 MPG number, starts at $25,000. How about that – real vehicles you can buy today, and the hybrid costs $6,000 more. Lest you think the Escape is some hulking SUV, it weighs about 3,800 pounds, compared to about 3,300 for a Camry and 2,800 for a Prius. Big SUVs are another 1,000-2,000 pounds.</p>
<p>Take a look at the Prius, or even better the late Honda Insight, if you want to see what it takes to achieve 35+ MPG – very lightweight structure, narrow front end to reduce drag, blob shape, skinny tires, and modest acceleration.</p>
<p>For what it’s worth, GM’s CEO says ultra-high mileage cars will run $5,000 to 6,000 extra. That sounds about right to me. Lightweight steel and aluminum are more expensive, hybrid control systems are expensive, batteries are expensive, and electric motors are expensive. Fortunately for the car builders, they all know how to shape a car for efficiency, it’s just that buyers generally hate the shape. Now, consumers won’t have any choice. I’m thinking the “bugs” in 1984 were pretty good examples of what we can expect.</p>