<p>Assuming Harvard has only 1660 open slots and a 80% matriculation rates(in line with previous years and slightly elevated to account for Harvard’s generous financial aid and our current economy), the admittance rate should be</p>
<p>But you have to remember that a lot of people apply to Harvard just to apply to Harvard. A decent number of people aren’t really qualified and don’t expect to get in, they just apply for the hell of it</p>
<p>1.) High school class of 2010 is about the end of a mini baby boom (last kids of the last kids of the original baby boom of the 50s).</p>
<p>2.) The increase in middle class aid has surely also caused another jump as more kids learn of it. Kids who excel academically, but previously never thought they had ANY hope of paying for Harvard, are applying. At one time you mostly had to be rich. Then mostly smart and rich. Now, just smart. </p>
<p>3.) I think the number of applications per child has increased continually over the past…??..10 years. </p>
<p>4.) In this economy, one HAS to “shop” the financial offers. </p>
<p>5.) Also, as the admit rates get lower, it increases the applicant pool. The 2400/36/4.0 kids still know that it’s a crap shoot, even for them. So they have to sow their seeds widely and put more applications out there. </p>
<p>I don’t envy the admissions staff their jobs right now.</p>
<p>If anything, where we live its the opposite. When my kid applied to Harvard, she was the first in 10 years. This is a high school in CT that students routinely apply to Yale, Stanford, Cornell and MIT. There is a widespread negative perception of Harvard that it is elitist which is not true.</p>