<p>You are right, mathmom. Fast forward 38 years and his style has not changed much. Thanks.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, Clinton has replaced her campaign manager:</p>
<p>"Democratic presidential candidate Sen. Hillary Clinton has replaced her campaign manager with a longtime adviser, Maggie Williams, the campaign announced Sunday.</p>
<p>Williams served as Clinton’s chief of staff when the New York senator was first lady.</p>
<p>Ex-campaign chief Patti Solis Doyle has been reassigned to a senior adviser’s job, the Clinton’s campaign announced in a memo to its staff"</p>
<p>“The “party insiders” would be the superdelegates”
Actually, that’s not what I was talking about. The “tap on the shoulder” wouldn’t be about super delegates, it would be about (in the context of what was discussed on today’s shows) asking Obama to wait his turn.</p>
<p>Maggie Williams is African-American. She was Hillary’s chief of staff during the WH years, through Whitewater on. It should make things interesting.</p>
<p>"zooser, who exactly did they think would tap Obama on the shoulder and ask him to politely "</p>
<p>Dean, Reid – I’m not sure who else. I don’t necessarily think this would happen, but was making the point that it appears that the Clinton campaign is floating this idea.</p>
<p>Yes, well, someone should tap CLINTON on the shoulder and ask HER to step aside. Obama has the enthusiasm of the party behind him. It seems like she is just stomping her foot and saying but it’s my TURN. That’s ridiculous. This is not about whose TURN it is. This is about who can best get elected and lead this country, and the majority of indicators seem to be that that is Senator Obama.</p>
<p>Dean would never, in a million years, do this. He and the Clintons represent opposite camps in the Democratic Party, with the Clinton’s camp (DLC) in decline. Dean, like Obama, is oriented toward increasing the involvement of people in politics. Dean has famously said that voting gets you only a “C” in citizenship. Reid might try, but what leverage does he have? There is no love lost between Reid and Dean, either. The Clinton campaign may well be floating the idea, but I doubt that there is much truth to it.</p>
<p>Yes, Obama seems to be moving ahead steadily - he just won the Maine caucuses today with a double-digit advantage over Clinton. But there’s a long way to go. Some people are saying that this might actually be decided by the voters in Puerto Rico!</p>
<p>My cracked crystal ball - which is usually wrong - says the nomination won’t go to the convention. Following Virginia, DC, and Maryland, which Obama will win big, will be Wisconsin and Hawaii, both of which he will also win big. Then, with two weeks before Texas and Ohio, he will hold huge rallies - in Cleveland, Columbus, Cincinnati, Dallas, Houston, Austin, maybe San Antonio, and Clinton will just get swamped.</p>
<p>In the last two days, Obama won the white vote and the Black vote AND the Latino vote. He won the male vote and the female vote. He won the young vote, the middle-aged vote, AND (in at least two states) the old vote. He didn’t trail in a single demographic. I expect we’ll see more race-baiting; I also expect it won’t work.</p>
<p>I’m with you, mini. That’s what I expect, but I am uncomfortably aware that candidates I support NEVER win.</p>
<p>I can’t help but notice that Hillary’s strategy is looking a lot like Giuliani’s - let the small states go and focus on a few delegate-rich states where you have an advantage. The trouble is that the advantage tends to evaporate as the smaller states are being lost.</p>
<p>Both HC and Rudy seem to forget the concept of “momentum”, to use a sports analogy. If the competition keeps on winning and winning, the media will just keep pushing this fact. The voters of the big states will “usually” follow the latest trend the media is pushing. (Altogether now, the sheep says, “Baaaah”).</p>
<p>Yeah, I thought California would swing Obama’s way, too, because of the momentum, but it didn’t happen. As a supporter of his, I love this past weekend, but I’m concerned about Texas. </p>
<p>mini, how did he win the Latino vote this weekend? Do you have a link?</p>
<p>I’m curious about what differences might have appeared in the California vote between write-in and ballot box votes. Edwards got 11% - I have to assume that most of those votes were write-in votes cast before he withdrew. Since the vote broke for Obama late, has anyone analyzed the vote election day vs. previously cast write-in votes? A lot of people vote absentee in California.</p>