<p>4.1% is pretty consistent with college coach Michele Hernandez’s estimate. I can’t find where exactly (it was an internet article) she said 7% becomes 4% for people without hooks, but I know I read it about two or three months ago.</p>
<p>At any rate, just give it a shot. 
Speculation is interesting, but ultimately doesn’t really affect anything.</p>
<p>Also, don’t forget that Harvard accepts more students than it has positions for–probably a few hundred, to make up for the admitted students that matriculate elsewhere.</p>