To be sure, the cost of tuition has really outpaced real income since I was in college. With that said, I attended the UW with a combination of Pell and State need grants, work study awards and a moderate amount of loans. I was, however, in-state, so that mattered. Then again, I was the son of a single mother working as an underpaid office worker. We honestly had next to zero, but she was able to help me some because she lived in a town with a very low cost of living.
I don’t dispute your response, and perhaps it’s because I live in Seattle, but I also don’t know many parents getting by on $57k. Even $75k would be the exception, if I could think of an example. It’s not just because I’m a professional; I live in a part of Seattle where there are a lot of Boeing workers (floor and staff engineers) who make a good, steady living, but are not approaching $200k either. My oldest daughter is 3 years out of college and works on the admin. side of a large accounting firm and makes $60K +.
Of the adults who live in my area, I would say, sure, they really tend to focus on in-state schools by and large, and if their kids want more, say a regional LAC or an OOS university, the kid I’m sure winds up absorbing part of the cost. In those cases, it’s not an “all or nothing” proposition, but rather a blended approach. I’ll also agree that those kids don’t tend to go out of state for just any school - it’s going to be a high-end school typically, and as you point out, those kids can leverage more financial help from the school.
My oldest daughter’s good friend attended NYU Tisch as a dancer. Her Dad is a cop and her mother a teacher. Not big earners. She was an IB kid, and I think had pretty good grades though lackluster test scores. I don’t pretend to know how they “figured it out”, but given that she didn’t knock the ACTs out of the park, was an A- IB diploma student (admittedly many schools fawn over IB kids) and NYU’s notoriously stingy financial aid practices, I am guessing that there are loans in that young woman’s life. I don’t know how burdensome they are, but I’m guessing she has them.
That is, though, one example of a family that figured it out … cop and teacher income is nothing special, and the cost of living in the Seattle area is nuts. They put a kid through NYU, and, as I suspect it is with many, I think they did it in a combination of ways.
I’m just saying that I don’t think it’s as cleanly “all or nothing” as going to the census would make it appear.