How much longer...

<p>For how many more years will college admissions increase in selectivity? I know acceptance rates for this coming year, 2008, are expected to be the lowest ever, but for how long will that continue? A few more years? 2015? Can anyone even know?</p>

<p>Gosh, if it continues much longer, acceptance rates at top 50 colleges are going to all be under 5%.</p>

<p>I guess it depends on population/economic trends. More people = more applicants, in general, and a poor economy = fewer people in college at all and fewer people applying to top (expensive/private) colleges.</p>

<p>i heard this year's 2008 class was supposed to be the most competitive, and then it would start to decrease after that</p>

<p>.....just what i heard</p>

<p>2011 is what i've read somewhere. about the post baby-boomer trend or something</p>

<p>I don't think 2007-2008 will be as bad as 2006-2007 year. I think the admissions have reached their peak. It will stay like this for couple of years before going down.</p>

<p>The class of 2008 will be the largest high school graduating class in recent years, and then the number will decline (and consequently, one would assume selectivity). If I find the link to the article I read that in, I'll post it, but no guarantees.</p>

<p>Basically, it sucks to be born in 1990.</p>

<p>pretty sure i read somewhere that number of kids applying to colleges will increase until high school class of 2009, then fall down afterwards</p>

<p>however, it also said that admissions will still become MORE competitive, even after 2009 so who knows</p>

<p>2011 will be the year it starts to decline with. Yay! <em>Applicant for 2011</em></p>

<p>You know 18 years in advance when the largest group of 18-year olds will be graduating from HS. When there are lots, it gets more competitive. When the pool is smaller, it gets less. Here are the charts on the trends:
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<p>. . . and yes, if you're interested in the Northeast, it indeed sucks to be born in 1990.</p>

<p>Yeah, it's decreasing for California after this year. I think it will be more than the projected for the coming years due to high housing price.</p>

<p>Haha. I was just wondering, cause my brother is HS class of 2014, and I didn't know if he'd face greater or less competition that I had to (HS class of 2007).</p>

<p>I don't know where it is but I remember someone posted a graph that showed the number of high school graduates from past years all the way up to over 2015.</p>

<p>A recent Washington Post article set the date in 2014.</p>

<p>Do you guys ever think that because of this increasing trend, that there will eventually be a limit to how many colleges you can apply to? </p>

<p>I feel that's one of the main reasons it has become more competitive (a lot more applications), along with the population increase.</p>