OP- big hug to you. And a kiss. This is surely stressful.
I have three suggestions for you (and yes, by now as you have seen, your situation is uncommon but not unusual. I think I know at least half a dozen kids over the last few years in my town who have been in your D’s predicament).
1- Stop- right now- categorizing the colleges as reach/match/safety. It’s handy- but ultimately it is terribly demoralizing to your D. Imagine being wait listed at a safety school. A SAFETY? OMG. Or rejected? Shoot me now. So from now on-- all colleges get referred to by their proper name. Level playing field. Every college holds something fabulous and valuable and exciting for your D, and the goal is to get her an education commensurate with her talents and abilities regardless of what the college is named or where it fits into some artificial construct.
2- Stop- right now- second guessing anything. Mostly because it won’t help, increases your anxiety, and is going to contribute to the general tone in your household for the next week. It is what it is. Nobody has cancer (I hope), thank god your D is healthy. She did nothing wrong, you did nothing wrong, GC did nothing wrong. The goal is to move forward, not to give yourself a permanent neck injury by looking backwards.
3- Start making a list (just for yourself, do not share with your D at this point) of colleges you guys overlooked for various reasons this past fall which could/might/maybe be acceptable if your D takes a gap year and does something fabulous (teaches dance? works as a nanny in Paris for an American family? volunteers for a worthwhile project somewhere?) The women’s colleges- Smith? Mt Holyoke? Catholic colleges- Fordham, Holy Cross? For a lot of families, once one college of a particular “type” gets knocked off the list, the rest of that group get knocked off as well and never get a serious look again. There are dozens of fabulous places who would love to admit your D but they don’t know about her. Realizing that even with your D’s long list, there are STILL dozens of great colleges is going to help mitigate some of her anxiety.
I think you did get some “off” advice but that’s neither here nor there at this point. There are places where being a
talented dancer is indeed a hook and others where it’s just “ok, another dancer with high scores and good grades, chuck her onto the pile”. That doesn’t mean your D isn’t special and fantastic and wonderful- it just means that colleges which are magnets for serious students and talented dancers get to pick and choose. I also think your GC might have suggested trimming the list of out of state public colleges to the 2 best matches and then REALLY showing those colleges the love. Bottom line is that nobody needs a full handful of “likely admit” colleges- they need one, two is nice to have so there is the actual “I choose you” component. But not more than that. It is too hard to show the love so many times; the colleges that practice yield protection are serious about it, and there is no way they are admitting a kid in the top of the statistical applicant pool that hasn’t wowed them with her knowledge of and love of their institution.
Ignore the waitlist issue for now. The best leverage you have on a wait list is “If you admit me today I will attend” and you aren’t in a position to do that. Yes, it would be nice if your GC was formulating a plan, but it’s too early for a plan. And I wouldn’t invest too much time in the whole “why didn’t she get accepted” scenario with the GC and the Adcom. First, because it doesn’t sound like your GC is terribly plugged in to that whole scene and a reluctant messenger/sales person might be worse than no sales person. And second- if you end up having to redo some applications for next year, you’ll have the luxury of time to recalibrate and your D will be a different person next year when she applies.
Go hug your D and reassure her that everything is going to be great. She’ll either be looking at the proverbial fat envelope in not too long, or you guys will figure out a Plan B which is going to be awesome.
And try to mean it.
Big hug to you.